Patriots vs. Bears odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, prediction from NFL model on 146-107 roll

Patriots vs. Bears odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, prediction from NFL model on 146-107 roll

Updated: 1 month, 5 days, 1 hour, 44 minutes, 33 seconds ago

Bill Belichick will try to claim the No. 2 spot in all-time victories when the New England Patriots host the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. The Patriots' coach is tied with George Halas with 324 victories as a head coach, including the postseason, and both trail Don Shula's 347. The Patriots (3-3) have won consecutive games, while Chicago (2-4) has lost three in a row. The Bears will have 10 days of rest after an ugly 12-7 loss to Washington on Thursday Night Football on Oct. 12. New England crushed Cleveland 38-15 eight days ago behind 309 yards and two touchdown passes from Zappe.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. Caesars Sportsbook lists New England as an 8.5-point favorite in its latest Patriots vs. Bears odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before locking in any Bears vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Bears and just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Patriots:

Patriots vs. Bears spread: New England -8.5Patriots vs. Bears over/under: 40 pointsPatriots vs. Bears money line: Chicago +300, New England -385Bears: Bears are 5-7-1 ATS after a loss since the start of last seasonPatriots: Patriots are 3-1 ATS in their last four with a rest disadvantagePatriots vs. Bears picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Patriots can cover

The favorite is 4-0 against the spread in the past four meetings and the Patriots have dominated as big home favorites. They have been favored by seven points or more six times since quarterback Tom Brady left and are 5-1 ATS, winning by an average of 26 points. The Bears have won three road games since the start of last season and are 4-8 ATS in that span. The New England defense might be the best one Chicago has faced, and the Bears are averaging 15.5 points per game (31st in NFL). New England is allowing less than 19 (seventh).

The Patriots will be able to focus on the running game and make Fields beat them, as Chicago runs the ball almost 59% of the time, most in the NFL. Fields can make plays with his legs, but he is completing just 54% of his passes. He has ben intercepted five times, compared to four touchdown passes, and has been sacked 23 times. The Patriots should be able to do plenty of damage of their own on the ground Monday Night Football. They rank 10th in the league in rushing, averaging 131 yards per game, while the Bears give up 163 yards per contest (29th). See which team to pick here.

Why the Bears can cover 

Chicago has focused on running the ball, averaging almost 171 yards per game on the ground, second-best in the NFL. David Montgomery (246) has been getting more carries when he is healthy, but Khalil Herbert (402 yards) has shown big-play ability. He averages 6.4 yards per carry and had a career-best 64-yard run last week. Quarterback Justin Fields is second on the team in rushing with 282 yards as the Bears run the ball almost 59 percent of downs, most in the NFL.

New England's run defense is its biggest weakness. The Patriots rank 17th against the run, allowing 119 yards per game. On defense, the Bears can focus on the run game, as the Pats average 223 yards through the air (19th). New England has turned the ball over 11 times, third-most in the league. Safety Eddie Jackson (three interceptions) is among the defenders who can make big plays. See which team to pick here.

How to make Patriots vs. Bears picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total. In fact, it's calling for 46 combined points. It also says one of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's MNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Patriots spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.